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Thanksgiving
Every Thanksgiving, gratitude gets filed under "personal" while the business stays transactional. That's a missed opportunity. 2020 was brutal, but brutal years are where leaders learn the things good years hide: which customers are indispensable, where communication breaks down, what really drives demand. Stoltz and Weihenmayer call it the adversity advantage. The gratitude practice worth keeping is the one that names (out loud) what adversity taught you this year.

Dr. David Macauley
3 min read


Uncertainty and CEO Overconfidence
Overconfidence is not a personality flaw. It's a measurable business risk. University of Chicago Booth research found that less talented CEOs over-promise, under-listen, chase vanity projects, and abandon strategies the moment short-term results disappoint. In good times, rising tides hide a lot of leadership sins. Downturns wash them out into plain view. The good news: the habits that separate skilled CEOs from overconfident ones are learnable, if you are willing to see your

Dr. David Macauley
5 min read


A Leader For All Seasons?
Every leader is a seasonal leader, whether they know it or not. Some seasons are for building, some for pruning, some for simply holding ground. The hardest part is refusing to wait out a downturn before you invest in yourself, the seeds you plant during uncertainty are the ones that make the next season count. Many of America's largest companies started in a recession because their founders understood what leadership really is: one part decision-making, one part sense-making

Dr. David Macauley
4 min read


Business Cycles and Zero Sum Thinking
Economic downturns don't just shrink revenue, they quietly reshape how people think. Research across 51 countries and nearly 60,000 respondents shows downturns trigger zero-sum thinking: the belief that someone else has to lose for you to win. Collaboration collapses at exactly the moment leaders need it most. Here's how to name the pull, disarm it, and keep your team playing an infinite game.

Dr. David Macauley
6 min read


Before You Cut Staff: 4 Research-Backed Strategies for Surviving a Downturn
When revenue contracts, the default reflex is layoffs. But research from Harvard Business Review and the BCG Henderson Institute tells a different story: companies that prepared, tightened operations, protected cash, and invested for growth outperformed their peers by double digits coming out of the Great Recession, often without resorting to cuts. Here are the four strategies, and why cutting staff belongs last in the leadership toolkit, not first.

Dr. David Macauley
9 min read
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